Kentucky

This year's club has no hope of matching the win total of the 2000 football team. That team won 7 regular season games (what a waste losing to Arkansas and Mississippi - another "what could have been"). But this year's team could match that team in one statistical column, SEC road wins.

State has lost 19 straight SEC road games. The last win? Kentucky in 2000.

Why Kentucky: Because State has been that bad on the road. Hell, they've been "that bad" everywhere they've played. State only has one playmaker and Croom is talking like Henig could get some snaps under center, which could lead to turnovers.

Why State: UK ranks 101 in rushing defense. If Norwood can go for 200 plus and the coaches continue to feed him the ball in the fourth quarter, no matter the score, the Pups can get a win. And Croom is hinting that Henig might get a few snaps under center, which could lead to a more productive passing game.

Bottom line: UK covers the point and wins outright (and take the under - this one isn't getting anywhere near 43), because State hasn't proven to anyone that they can win a football game against "legitimate" competition. UK 17 - State 13.